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Red118
368013.0
873849.0
95598.7
Blue85
1041212.9
689434.6
345920.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72765060809010011012011885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+15Teleop
+15Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +2
16Coral scored#14
59Coral points51
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
73Total teleop75
Reef
9L4#6
4L3#5
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
18Foul points0
118Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.01.8
45.046.8
Auto10.2
Teleop36.8
End2.1
red by 14.4
34.60.5
32.633.2
Auto5.6
Teleop26.3
End2.7
Second
3680
#21
13.01.8
11.112.9
Auto3.2
Teleop9.0
End0.8
blue by 7.1
3459
#20
20.10.4
20.520.9
Auto2.9
Teleop11.7
End5.5
Third
9559
#28
8.71.8
6.17.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End0.8
blue by 4.2
12.90.5
13.614.1
Auto2.4
Teleop10.5
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed