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Red111
693223.1
1007721.4
272429.4
Blue138
650238.3
690815.2
350631.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1009960708090110120130140111138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+31
Endgame+33
Fouls+27
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +31
15Coral scored#18
55Coral points66
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#8
18Processor points18
12Net points32
30Algae points50
85Total teleop116
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#5
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
6Foul points0
111Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2724
#13
29.40.5
29.329.8
Auto7.5
Teleop19.4
End2.6
blue by 8.9
38.32.6
32.735.3
Auto6.8
Teleop30.1
End1.5
Second
6932
#17
23.10.5
22.122.6
Auto2.1
Teleop13.4
End7.6
blue by 8.1
3506
#12
31.22.6
28.531.1
Auto4.1
Teleop21.4
End5.7
Third
21.40.6
20.721.2
Auto4.6
Teleop15.6
End1.2
red by 6.2
6908
#26
15.22.6
12.415.0
Auto3.0
Teleop11.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed