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Red80
960723.4
368013.0
693223.1
Blue121
650238.3
689434.6
322923.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions741235010015020080121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+51
Endgame+41
Fouls+41
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +54
10Coral scored#22
36Coral points80
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
54Total teleop108
Reef
3L4#8
4L3#8
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#30
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points0
80Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9607
#15
23.40.1
21.621.7
Auto2.6
Teleop18.3
End2.4
blue by 14.9
38.30.8
35.336.0
Auto6.8
Teleop30.1
End1.5
Second
6932
#17
23.10.1
22.622.8
Auto2.1
Teleop13.4
End7.6
blue by 11.5
34.60.9
33.234.0
Auto5.6
Teleop26.3
End2.7
Third
3680
#21
13.00.1
12.913.0
Auto3.2
Teleop9.0
End0.8
blue by 10.2
23.20.8
22.923.7
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
8%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed