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Red83
900512.7
873849.0
929817.3
Blue63
1030417.2
789024.5
95598.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions895501001508363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+20Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points1
16Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +14
14Coral scored#10
49Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
63Total teleop49
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
83Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.00.5
46.847.3
Auto10.2
Teleop36.8
End2.1
red by 24.5
7890
#14
24.50.8
23.424.2
Auto5.3
Teleop18.2
End1.1
Second
9298
#18
17.30.5
14.515.0
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End1.4
red by 0.1
17.20.8
16.417.2
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End1.3
Third
9005
#23
12.70.5
11.612.1
Auto1.5
Teleop9.3
End1.9
red by 4.0
9559
#28
8.70.8
7.98.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed