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Red57
693223.1
350631.2
345920.1
Blue75
1041212.9
776330.9
319626.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768040506070901001101205775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+42
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +45
4Coral scored#16
14Coral points57
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
22Total teleop67
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#18
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
57Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3506
#12
31.21.0
29.328.3
Auto4.1
Teleop21.4
End5.7
red by 0.3
7763
#24
30.90.3
26.827.1
Auto5.3
Teleop24.1
End1.6
Second
6932
#17
23.11.0
18.817.8
Auto2.1
Teleop13.4
End7.6
blue by 3.6
26.70.3
20.520.8
Auto3.4
Teleop22.1
End1.1
Third
3459
#20
20.11.0
17.216.3
Auto2.9
Teleop11.7
End5.5
red by 7.2
12.90.6
17.518.1
Auto2.4
Teleop10.5
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed