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Red54
1007721.4
322923.2
97249.9
Blue32
368013.0
689434.6
900512.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635001001505432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+16Teleop
+16Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +19
8Coral scored#4
29Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
37Total teleop18
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
6Foul points0
54Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.4
21.120.7
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End1.4
blue by 11.4
34.61.3
25.123.7
Auto5.6
Teleop26.3
End2.7
Second
21.40.6
17.516.9
Auto4.6
Teleop15.6
End1.2
red by 8.4
3680
#21
13.00.8
9.89.0
Auto3.2
Teleop9.0
End0.8
Third
9724
#27DQ
9.90.6
14.814.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End3.1
blue by 2.8
9005
#23
12.70.8
9.28.4
Auto1.5
Teleop9.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed