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Red118
1030417.2
572739.9
58751.6
Blue118
960723.4
949681.2
95598.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100105708090110120130118118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+4Teleop
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +1
17Coral scored#18
60Coral points63
1Processor algae#1
7Net algae#6
6Processor points6
28Net points24
34Algae points30
94Total teleop93
Reef
7L4#9
5L3#4
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
6Foul points6
118Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#3
51.6
Auto8.6
Teleop41.5
End1.5
blue by 29.5
81.2
Auto18.3
Teleop55.7
End7.2
Second
5727
#10
39.9
Auto5.7
Teleop32.8
End1.5
red by 16.6
9607
#15
23.4
Auto2.6
Teleop18.3
End2.4
Third
17.2
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End1.3
red by 8.5
9559
#28
8.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed