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Red173
949681.2
919816.7
873849.0
Blue120
58751.6
929817.3
650238.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16810850150200250173120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+47Teleop
+59Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points17
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +33
24Coral scored#11
86Coral points41
2Processor algae#4
6Net algae#6
12Processor points24
24Net points24
36Algae points48
122Total teleop89
Reef
10L4#6
12L3#3
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points6
173Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.20.5
80.080.5
Auto18.3
Teleop55.7
End7.2
red by 29.5
587
#3
51.60.2
49.649.7
Auto8.6
Teleop41.5
End1.5
Second
49.00.5
47.948.4
Auto10.2
Teleop36.8
End2.1
red by 10.7
38.30.2
36.236.4
Auto6.8
Teleop30.1
End1.5
Third
9198
#22
16.70.5
15.616.1
Auto4.0
Teleop10.6
End2.1
blue by 0.6
9298
#18
17.30.2
15.215.4
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End1.4