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Red141
960723.4
776330.9
319626.7
Blue107
693223.1
1010718.4
789024.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10491406080120140160141107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+40Teleop
+28Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +33
21Coral scored#15
75Coral points54
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
12Processor points12
28Net points16
40Algae points28
115Total teleop82
Reef
6L4#7
7L3#3
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +34
6Foul points0
141Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7763
#24
30.90.5
30.230.8
Auto5.3
Teleop24.1
End1.6
red by 6.4
7890
#14
24.50.3
24.324.5
Auto5.3
Teleop18.2
End1.1
Second
26.70.5
26.026.5
Auto3.4
Teleop22.1
End1.1
red by 3.6
6932
#17
23.10.3
22.823.1
Auto2.1
Teleop13.4
End7.6
Third
9607
#15
23.40.5
22.723.2
Auto2.6
Teleop18.3
End2.4
red by 4.9
18.40.3
18.218.4
Auto4.3
Teleop11.9
End2.3