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Red54
1041212.9
322923.2
272429.4
Blue93
572739.9
689434.6
900512.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7710840601001201401601805493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+41
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +42
6Coral scored#13
23Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
37Total teleop79
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
54Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2724
#13
29.40.4
29.829.4
Auto7.5
Teleop19.4
End2.6
blue by 10.5
5727
#10
39.90.1
39.839.9
Auto5.7
Teleop32.8
End1.5
Second
23.20.4
23.623.2
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End1.4
blue by 11.4
34.60.1
34.534.5
Auto5.6
Teleop26.3
End2.7
Third
12.90.4
13.312.9
Auto2.4
Teleop10.5
End-0.0
red by 0.2
9005
#23
12.70.1
12.612.6
Auto1.5
Teleop9.3
End1.9