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Red115
58751.6
929817.3
650238.3
Blue102
960723.4
776330.9
319626.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1279350150200115102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+13Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +13
19Coral scored#16
68Coral points59
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
18Processor points18
16Net points12
34Algae points30
102Total teleop89
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#6
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
115Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#3
51.60.0
49.549.6
Auto8.6
Teleop41.5
End1.5
red by 20.7
7763
#24
30.90.2
30.030.2
Auto5.3
Teleop24.1
End1.6
Second
38.30.0
36.236.2
Auto6.8
Teleop30.1
End1.5
red by 11.6
26.70.2
25.826.0
Auto3.4
Teleop22.1
End1.1
Third
9298
#18
17.30.0
15.215.2
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End1.4
blue by 6.0
9607
#15
23.40.2
22.522.7
Auto2.6
Teleop18.3
End2.4