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Red142
949681.2
919816.7
873849.0
Blue83
322923.2
272429.4
1041212.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179705010015020025030014283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+67Teleop
+65Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave9
8Coral scored#2
40Coral points11
40Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +47
17Coral scored#8
62Coral points29
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
18Processor points12
12Net points4
30Algae points16
92Total teleop45
Reef
7L4#4
9L3#2
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +59
6Foul points12
142Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.20.4
80.480.0
Auto18.3
Teleop55.7
End7.2
red by 51.8
2724
#13
29.40.1
29.929.8
Auto7.5
Teleop19.4
End2.6
Second
49.00.4
48.247.9
Auto10.2
Teleop36.8
End2.1
red by 25.8
23.20.1
23.823.6
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End1.4
Third
9198
#22
16.70.4
15.915.6
Auto4.0
Teleop10.6
End2.1
red by 3.8
12.90.1
13.413.3
Auto2.4
Teleop10.5
End-0.0