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Red62
493520.7
688822.2
345920.1
Blue96
572739.9
689434.6
900512.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72106501506296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+40
Endgame+40
Fouls+34
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +44
7Coral scored#13
26Coral points46
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
0Processor points12
8Net points20
8Algae points32
34Total teleop78
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +34
6Foul points0
62Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.2
22.422.2
Auto2.0
Teleop15.3
End4.9
blue by 17.7
5727
#10
39.90.2
39.639.8
Auto5.7
Teleop32.8
End1.5
Second
4935
#11
20.70.2
20.820.7
Auto4.3
Teleop13.5
End2.9
blue by 13.9
34.60.2
34.234.5
Auto5.6
Teleop26.3
End2.7
Third
3459
#20
20.10.2
20.320.1
Auto2.9
Teleop11.7
End5.5
red by 7.4
9005
#23
12.70.2
12.312.6
Auto1.5
Teleop9.3
End1.9