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Red113
693223.1
1010718.4
789024.5
Blue97
350631.2
1007721.4
690815.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions909460708010011012013011397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+20Teleop
+10Endgame
+16Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +20
14Coral scored#14
51Coral points49
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#4
12Processor points6
28Net points16
40Algae points22
91Total teleop71
Reef
5L4#6
6L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +16
6Foul points0
113Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7890
#14
24.50.3
23.924.3
Auto5.3
Teleop18.2
End1.1
blue by 6.7
3506
#12
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto4.1
Teleop21.4
End5.7
Second
6932
#17
23.10.3
22.522.8
Auto2.1
Teleop13.4
End7.6
red by 1.7
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto4.6
Teleop15.6
End1.2
Third
18.40.3
17.818.2
Auto4.3
Teleop11.9
End2.3
red by 3.3
6908
#26
15.20.0
15.115.2
Auto3.0
Teleop11.3
End0.8