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Red110
572739.9
689434.6
900512.7
Blue127
960723.4
776330.9
319626.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1129350150200110127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points16
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +16
17Coral scored#18
61Coral points65
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
18Processor points18
12Net points24
30Algae points42
91Total teleop107
Reef
7L4#9
6L3#6
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
110Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5727
#10
39.90.2
39.439.6
Auto5.7
Teleop32.8
End1.5
red by 9.0
7763
#24
30.90.7
29.330.0
Auto5.3
Teleop24.1
End1.6
Second
34.60.2
34.034.2
Auto5.6
Teleop26.3
End2.7
red by 8.0
26.70.7
25.025.8
Auto3.4
Teleop22.1
End1.1
Third
9005
#23
12.70.2
12.112.3
Auto1.5
Teleop9.3
End1.9
blue by 10.6
9607
#15
23.40.7
21.722.5
Auto2.6
Teleop18.3
End2.4