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Red145
58751.6
929817.3
650238.3
Blue101
960723.4
776330.9
319626.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1279550150200145101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+42Teleop
+44Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
25Coral scored#19
89Coral points68
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
18Processor points12
16Net points8
34Algae points20
123Total teleop88
Reef
8L4#6
11L3#7
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points0
145Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#3
51.60.6
49.750.3
Auto8.6
Teleop41.5
End1.5
red by 20.7
7763
#24
30.90.0
30.930.9
Auto5.3
Teleop24.1
End1.6
Second
38.30.6
36.437.0
Auto6.8
Teleop30.1
End1.5
red by 11.6
26.70.0
26.626.7
Auto3.4
Teleop22.1
End1.1
Third
9298
#18
17.30.6
15.416.0
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End1.4
blue by 6.0
9607
#15
23.40.0
23.323.4
Auto2.6
Teleop18.3
End2.4