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Red86
382219.3
903234.3
453445.3
Blue102
205942.9
744315.3
90051.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021162040608014016018086102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
6Coral scored#4
31Coral points21
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +19
10Coral scored#12
37Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
47Total teleop66
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
86Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.30.3
45.645.3
Auto14.8
Teleop28.5
End1.9
blue by 5.8
900
#3
51.10.2
51.351.1
Auto13.1
Teleop36.3
End1.8
Second
9032
#17
34.30.3
34.634.3
Auto8.0
Teleop25.4
End0.9
blue by 8.6
42.90.2
43.142.9
Auto8.0
Teleop28.4
End6.6
Third
3822
#22
19.30.3
19.619.3
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End1.7
red by 4.0
7443
#26
15.30.2
15.515.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End1.8