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Red83
382219.3
903234.3
453445.3
Blue117
205942.9
744315.3
90051.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10311540608014016018083117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+34
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave6
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points31
26Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +23
10Coral scored#16
37Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
6Processor points12
8Net points4
14Algae points16
51Total teleop74
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#8
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
18Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
83Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.30.4
46.045.6
Auto14.8
Teleop28.5
End1.9
blue by 5.8
900
#3
51.10.2
51.151.3
Auto13.1
Teleop36.3
End1.8
Second
9032
#17
34.30.4
35.034.6
Auto8.0
Teleop25.4
End0.9
blue by 8.6
42.90.2
42.943.1
Auto8.0
Teleop28.4
End6.6
Third
3822
#22
19.30.4
20.019.6
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End1.7
red by 4.0
7443
#26
15.30.2
15.315.5
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End1.8