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Red116
205942.9
744315.3
90051.1
Blue95
689435.6
904216.1
264027.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1228220406010014016018011695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+9Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +5
16Coral scored#15
56Coral points55
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
84Total teleop79
Reef
6L4#5
6L3#6
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
116Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#3
51.10.2
51.051.1
Auto13.1
Teleop36.3
End1.8
red by 15.6
35.60.4
35.235.6
Auto6.3
Teleop28.6
End0.7
Second
42.90.2
42.842.9
Auto8.0
Teleop28.4
End6.6
red by 15.6
2640
#11
27.30.4
26.927.3
Auto3.7
Teleop21.9
End1.7
Third
7443
#26
15.30.2
15.215.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End1.8
blue by 0.7
9042
#20
16.10.4
15.716.1
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End1.8