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Red143
689435.6
904216.1
264027.3
Blue87
1007725.7
929735.6
651226.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8811240608010012014016018014387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+54Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
2Coral scored#4
12Coral points19
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +61
25Coral scored#13
89Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
12Processor points6
24Net points12
36Algae points18
125Total teleop64
Reef
7L4#6
9L3#5
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
143Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.60.9
34.235.2
Auto6.3
Teleop28.6
End0.7
blue by 0.1
35.60.6
36.235.6
Auto4.3
Teleop29.4
End2.0
Second
2640
#11
27.30.9
26.026.9
Auto3.7
Teleop21.9
End1.7
red by 1.1
26.20.6
26.926.2
Auto5.5
Teleop13.6
End7.2
Third
9042
#20
16.10.9
14.715.7
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End1.8
blue by 9.6
25.70.6
26.325.7
Auto6.0
Teleop17.2
End2.4