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Red84
205942.9
744315.3
90051.1
Blue127
382219.3
903234.3
453445.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11810140608014016018084127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+39
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave3
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points34
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +18
12Coral scored#13
44Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
62Total teleop80
Reef
4L4#6
5L3#6
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +4
6Cage & park10
6Total endgame10
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
84Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#3
51.10.6
51.651.0
Auto13.1
Teleop36.3
End1.8
red by 5.8
45.30.6
45.446.0
Auto14.8
Teleop28.5
End1.9
Second
42.90.6
43.442.8
Auto8.0
Teleop28.4
End6.6
red by 8.6
9032
#17
34.30.6
34.435.0
Auto8.0
Teleop25.4
End0.9
Third
7443
#26
15.30.6
15.815.2
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End1.8
blue by 4.0
3822
#22
19.30.6
19.420.0
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End1.7