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Red58
560716.5
1026015.9
205942.9
Blue50
1007725.7
978812.8
929735.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81682040601001205850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+6Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +4
8Coral scored#8
28Coral points30
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
36Total teleop40
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#2
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
58Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.90.6
41.040.4
Auto8.0
Teleop28.4
End6.6
red by 7.3
35.60.5
28.628.1
Auto4.3
Teleop29.4
End2.0
Second
5607
#25
16.50.7
11.711.0
Auto3.1
Teleop12.6
End0.8
blue by 9.2
25.70.5
21.420.9
Auto6.0
Teleop17.2
End2.4
Third
15.90.6
14.714.1
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End1.6
red by 3.0
9788
#31
12.80.5
7.87.3
Auto2.8
Teleop8.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed