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Red119
929619.3
90051.1
903234.3
Blue27
672921.0
1024813.9
481613.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1052605015011927

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+86Teleop
+88Endgame
+92Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +72
20Coral scored#3
72Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
86Total teleop14
Reef
9L4#1
8L3#1
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
26Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +92
6Foul points2
119Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#3
51.11.6
39.340.8
Auto13.1
Teleop36.3
End1.8
red by 30.1
6729
#23
21.00.6
14.013.4
Auto2.1
Teleop17.9
End1.1
Second
9032
#17
34.31.6
31.633.1
Auto8.0
Teleop25.4
End0.9
red by 20.4
13.90.6
11.310.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Third
9296
#19
19.31.8
18.420.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.5
End2.1
red by 5.7
13.50.6
8.07.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed