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Qual 182025 FNC District UNC Pembroke Event
Red138
43516.3
830421.7
929735.6
Blue53
978812.8
929619.3
972412.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7849020406010012014016013853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+57Teleop
+61Endgame
+85Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +63
21Coral scored#6
75Coral points22
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
99Total teleop36
Reef
8L4#2
6L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#11
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +85
24Foul points0
138Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9297
#7
35.62.5
29.6→32.1
Auto4.3
Teleop29.4
End2.0
red by 16.4
9296
#19
19.30.2
19.6→19.4
Auto5.7
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Second
8304
#15
21.72.5
18.4→20.9
Auto5.4
Teleop15.0
End1.3
red by 8.8
9788
#31
12.80.2
8.8→8.7
Auto2.8
Teleop8.8
End1.3
Third
435
#16
16.32.5
10.4→12.9
Auto3.6
Teleop11.2
End1.5
red by 4.3
9724
#9
12.00.2
11.3→11.1
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed