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Red47
1026015.9
334914.6
744315.3
Blue102
651226.2
904216.1
90051.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339505015020047102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+39
Endgame+49
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +25
5Coral scored#12
19Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
29Total teleop54
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points6
47Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.90.5
16.116.6
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End1.6
blue by 35.2
900
#3
51.11.1
47.448.5
Auto13.1
Teleop36.3
End1.8
Second
7443
#26
15.30.5
10.110.6
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End1.8
blue by 10.9
26.21.1
17.718.8
Auto5.5
Teleop13.6
End7.2
Third
3349
#14
14.60.5
10.110.7
Auto3.0
Teleop10.0
End1.6
blue by 1.5
9042
#20
16.11.1
11.712.8
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned