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Red68
972412.0
919820.5
689435.6
Blue62
1058320.6
560716.5
672921.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8457020401001201401606862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+8Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
6Leave3
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
15Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +4
10Coral scored#12
35Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
49Total teleop53
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#4
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
68Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.60.2
33.933.7
Auto6.3
Teleop28.6
End0.7
red by 14.5
6729
#23
21.00.6
18.519.1
Auto2.1
Teleop17.9
End1.1
Second
9198
#10
20.50.2
20.220.0
Auto4.3
Teleop14.8
End1.4
blue by 0.1
20.60.6
17.418.0
Auto4.0
Teleop14.5
End2.1
Third
12.00.2
11.110.9
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End2.3
blue by 4.5
5607
#25
16.50.6
12.513.0
Auto3.1
Teleop12.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed