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Red56
334914.6
929619.3
43516.3
Blue63
453445.3
382219.3
972412.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4510001505663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+5
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +12
8Coral scored#11
28Coral points38
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
40Total teleop52
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#5
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#16
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points2
56Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9296
#19
19.30.8
20.321.1
Auto5.7
Teleop11.5
End2.1
blue by 26.0
45.31.3
45.043.7
Auto14.8
Teleop28.5
End1.9
Second
435
#16
16.30.8
13.414.2
Auto3.6
Teleop11.2
End1.5
blue by 3.1
3822
#22
19.31.3
24.423.1
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End1.7
Third
3349
#14
14.60.8
9.710.6
Auto3.0
Teleop10.0
End1.6
red by 2.6
12.01.3
10.99.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed