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Red95
481613.5
929735.6
333615.1
Blue73
87579.7
919820.5
1030221.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions767140601001209573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+22Teleop
+24Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +18
16Coral scored#10
56Coral points36
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
74Total teleop56
Reef
6L4#5
6L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
8Cage & park6
8Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points2
95Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.61.4
32.133.5
Auto4.3
Teleop29.4
End2.0
red by 14.0
21.60.1
16.016.0
Auto4.3
Teleop15.5
End1.9
Second
3336
#18
15.11.4
12.513.9
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End2.8
blue by 5.4
9198
#10
20.50.1
20.019.9
Auto4.3
Teleop14.8
End1.4
Third
13.51.4
8.59.9
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End2.0
red by 3.9
8757
#30
9.70.1
13.113.1
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed