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Red74
1024813.9
1058320.6
903234.3
Blue97
205942.9
978812.8
689435.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions569202040801001201407497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+19
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +16
12Coral scored#15
44Coral points54
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
54Total teleop70
Reef
6L4#7
3L3#3
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
2Foul points6
74Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9032
#17
34.31.0
28.029.1
Auto8.0
Teleop25.4
End0.9
blue by 8.6
42.90.6
39.840.4
Auto8.0
Teleop28.4
End6.6
Second
20.61.0
18.019.0
Auto4.0
Teleop14.5
End2.1
blue by 15.0
35.60.6
33.734.3
Auto6.3
Teleop28.6
End0.7
Third
13.91.0
10.311.3
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End1.8
red by 1.0
9788
#31
12.80.6
8.79.3
Auto2.8
Teleop8.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed