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Red53
43516.3
672921.0
1012117.1
Blue16
551810.4
904216.1
334914.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions563102040801001201405316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+33Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +30
8Coral scored#1
29Coral points5
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
6Processor points0
0Net points0
6Algae points0
35Total teleop5
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#3
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
53Total score16

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6729
#23
21.00.4
19.119.5
Auto2.1
Teleop17.9
End1.1
red by 5.0
9042
#20
16.10.9
12.811.8
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End1.8
Second
17.10.4
14.414.9
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End1.2
red by 2.5
3349
#14
14.60.9
10.79.7
Auto3.0
Teleop10.0
End1.6
Third
435
#16
16.30.4
12.913.4
Auto3.6
Teleop11.2
End1.5
red by 5.9
5518
#27
10.40.9
6.75.8
Auto2.4
Teleop6.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed