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Red135
744315.3
90051.1
830421.7
Blue85
382219.3
264027.3
1007725.7
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9978406012014016018013585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+44Teleop
+46Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points16
26Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +37
19Coral scored#13
69Coral points48
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
99Total teleop62
Reef
6L4#6
9L3#5
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
6Foul points2
135Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#3
51.12.1
48.550.6
Auto13.1
Teleop36.3
End1.8
red by 23.8
2640
#11
27.30.8
22.623.4
Auto3.7
Teleop21.9
End1.7
Second
8304
#15
21.72.1
20.923.0
Auto5.4
Teleop15.0
End1.3
blue by 4.0
25.70.8
18.719.5
Auto6.0
Teleop17.2
End2.4
Third
7443
#26
15.32.1
10.612.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End1.8
blue by 4.0
3822
#22
19.30.8
23.524.4
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed