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Red52
333615.1
1058320.6
87579.7
Blue65
904216.1
1007725.7
820514.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66623040507080901005265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+11
Endgame+11
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
3Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +2
9Coral scored#9
31Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
45Total teleop47
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points2
52Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.61.0
19.018.1
Auto4.0
Teleop14.5
End2.1
blue by 5.1
25.70.2
19.519.2
Auto6.0
Teleop17.2
End2.4
Second
3336
#18
15.11.0
13.912.9
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End2.8
blue by 0.9
9042
#20
16.10.2
11.811.6
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End1.8
Third
8757
#30
9.71.0
13.112.1
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End2.3
blue by 4.8
8205
#29
14.40.2
16.416.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed