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Red109
830421.7
919820.5
205942.9
Blue86
929735.6
1024813.9
551810.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1085905015010986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+23Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points1
12Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +21
19Coral scored#16
67Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
93Total teleop72
Reef
7L4#7
8L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
109Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.90.1
40.440.3
Auto8.0
Teleop28.4
End6.6
red by 7.3
35.60.8
33.534.3
Auto4.3
Teleop29.4
End2.0
Second
8304
#15
21.70.1
23.022.9
Auto5.4
Teleop15.0
End1.3
red by 7.8
13.90.8
11.312.1
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Third
9198
#10
20.50.1
19.919.8
Auto4.3
Teleop14.8
End1.4
red by 10.1
5518
#27
10.40.8
5.86.6
Auto2.4
Teleop6.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed