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Red97
672921.0
744315.3
264027.3
Blue93
903234.3
43516.3
560716.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63613040507080901009793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
0Teleop0
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto9
Teleoperatedlevel
15Coral scored#19
54Coral points68
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
82Total teleop82
Reef
7L4#9
4L3#5
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#22
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
97Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2640
#11
27.32.0
22.124.1
Auto3.7
Teleop21.9
End1.7
blue by 7.0
9032
#17
34.31.6
30.832.4
Auto8.0
Teleop25.4
End0.9
Second
6729
#23
21.02.0
21.223.3
Auto2.1
Teleop17.9
End1.1
red by 4.5
5607
#25
16.51.6
11.713.3
Auto3.1
Teleop12.6
End0.8
Third
7443
#26
15.32.0
12.614.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End1.8
blue by 0.9
435
#16
16.31.6
14.215.8
Auto3.6
Teleop11.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed5%Barge oddsMissed