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Red51
689435.6
382219.3
820514.4
Blue129
453445.3
1007725.7
90051.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801335010015020051129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+72
Endgame+78
Fouls+78
AutonomousBlue +27
0Leave9
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points27
9Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +45
8Coral scored#16
28Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
42Total teleop87
Reef
4L4#9
3L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +78
0Foul points0
51Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.61.5
33.932.4
Auto6.3
Teleop28.6
End0.7
blue by 15.6
900
#3
51.11.1
50.151.2
Auto13.1
Teleop36.3
End1.8
Second
3822
#22
19.31.5
23.121.6
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End1.7
blue by 26.0
45.31.1
43.744.7
Auto14.8
Teleop28.5
End1.9
Third
8205
#29
14.41.5
16.214.7
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End0.4
blue by 11.3
25.71.1
19.220.3
Auto6.0
Teleop17.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsMissed99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed