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Red71
481613.5
334914.6
830421.7
Blue48
919820.5
904216.1
87579.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67653040506080901001107148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+11Teleop
+13Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +8
10Coral scored#8
36Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
46Total teleop38
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#1
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
10Foul points0
71Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8304
#15
21.70.0
22.922.9
Auto5.4
Teleop15.0
End1.3
red by 1.2
9198
#10
20.51.0
19.818.8
Auto4.3
Teleop14.8
End1.4
Second
3349
#14
14.60.0
10.610.5
Auto3.0
Teleop10.0
End1.6
blue by 1.5
9042
#20
16.11.0
11.610.6
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End1.8
Third
13.50.0
9.99.9
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End2.0
red by 3.9
8757
#30
9.71.0
12.111.1
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed