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Red78
1058320.6
551810.4
929619.3
Blue81
978812.8
1026015.9
1030221.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584901001502007881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+9
Endgame+9
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto15
Teleoperatedlevel
9Coral scored#11
32Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
56Total teleop56
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
12Foul points6
78Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.8
18.118.9
Auto4.0
Teleop14.5
End2.1
blue by 1.1
21.61.7
16.017.6
Auto4.3
Teleop15.5
End1.9
Second
9296
#19
19.30.8
21.122.0
Auto5.7
Teleop11.5
End2.1
red by 3.4
15.91.7
17.118.7
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End1.6
Third
5518
#27
10.40.8
6.67.4
Auto2.4
Teleop6.7
End1.3
blue by 2.4
9788
#31
12.81.7
7.99.6
Auto2.8
Teleop8.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsMissed