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Red109
929735.6
651226.2
1012117.1
Blue110
333615.1
205942.9
972412.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8876050100150200109110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+15Teleop
+3Endgame
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +19
17Coral scored#15
61Coral points54
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
18Processor points6
12Net points12
30Algae points18
91Total teleop72
Reef
5L4#6
7L3#5
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
2Foul points6
109Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.60.9
34.335.2
Auto4.3
Teleop29.4
End2.0
blue by 7.3
42.91.2
40.341.6
Auto8.0
Teleop28.4
End6.6
Second
26.20.9
21.422.3
Auto5.5
Teleop13.6
End7.2
red by 11.1
3336
#18
15.11.2
12.914.2
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End2.8
Third
17.10.9
14.815.8
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End1.2
red by 5.1
12.01.2
9.610.9
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsEarned