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Red30
481613.5
929619.3
904216.1
Blue96
205942.9
1058320.6
264027.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions449601503096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+50
Endgame+58
Fouls+66
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +46
2Coral scored#12
8Coral points44
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
12Total teleop58
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#3
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#3
5Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +66
0Foul points8
30Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9296
#19
19.30.8
21.320.6
Auto5.7
Teleop11.5
End2.1
blue by 23.7
42.90.4
41.642.0
Auto8.0
Teleop28.4
End6.6
Second
9042
#20
16.10.8
10.49.6
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End1.8
blue by 11.2
2640
#11
27.30.4
21.421.9
Auto3.7
Teleop21.9
End1.7
Third
13.50.8
9.99.1
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End2.0
blue by 7.0
20.60.4
18.318.7
Auto4.0
Teleop14.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsEarned