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Red60
1030221.6
689435.6
333615.1
Blue59
1012117.1
972412.0
1024813.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions864902040601001201401606059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+7Teleop
+3Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points21
12Total auto21
TeleoperatedRed +16
11Coral scored#4
38Coral points16
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
46Total teleop30
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points2
60Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.60.3
32.432.1
Auto6.3
Teleop28.6
End0.7
red by 18.4
17.11.2
15.817.0
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End1.2
Second
21.60.3
17.617.4
Auto4.3
Teleop15.5
End1.9
red by 7.8
13.91.2
12.013.2
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Third
3336
#18
15.10.3
14.213.9
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End2.8
red by 3.1
12.01.2
10.912.1
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed