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Red48
382219.3
87579.7
978812.8
Blue85
43516.3
651226.2
453445.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4910701502004885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+43
Endgame+51
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +36
3Coral scored#10
10Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
14Total teleop50
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
14Foul points0
48Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3822
#22
19.30.5
21.621.0
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End1.7
blue by 26.0
45.30.1
44.744.9
Auto14.8
Teleop28.5
End1.9
Second
9788
#31
12.80.5
9.69.0
Auto2.8
Teleop8.8
End1.3
blue by 13.4
26.20.1
22.322.5
Auto5.5
Teleop13.6
End7.2
Third
8757
#30
9.70.5
11.110.5
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End2.3
blue by 6.6
435
#16
16.30.1
15.816.0
Auto3.6
Teleop11.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed