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Qual 392025 FNC District UNC Pembroke Event
Red70
264027.3
672921.0
90051.1
Blue86
929619.3
929735.6
1058320.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11282501001502007086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+8
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +14
10Coral scored#12
36Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
50Total teleop64
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points8
70Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#3
51.12.7
51.2→48.6
Auto13.1
Teleop36.3
End1.8
red by 15.5
9297
#7
35.60.6
35.2→34.6
Auto4.3
Teleop29.4
End2.0
Second
2640
#11
27.32.7
24.1→21.4
Auto3.7
Teleop21.9
End1.7
red by 6.7
10583
#21
20.60.6
18.9→18.3
Auto4.0
Teleop14.5
End2.1
Third
6729
#23
21.02.7
23.3→20.6
Auto2.1
Teleop17.9
End1.1
red by 1.8
9296
#19
19.30.6
22.0→21.3
Auto5.7
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed