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Red90
830421.7
560716.5
333615.1
Blue153
651226.2
205942.9
1007725.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6712105010015020090153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+45
Endgame+63
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points16
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +38
13Coral scored#16
46Coral points56
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#7
12Processor points24
12Net points28
24Algae points52
70Total teleop108
Reef
4L4#9
5L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +18
8Cage & park26
8Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points0
90Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8304
#15
21.70.6
21.722.3
Auto5.4
Teleop15.0
End1.3
blue by 21.3
42.92.4
42.044.4
Auto8.0
Teleop28.4
End6.6
Second
5607
#25
16.50.6
14.014.6
Auto3.1
Teleop12.6
End0.8
blue by 9.7
26.22.4
22.524.8
Auto5.5
Teleop13.6
End7.2
Third
3336
#18
15.10.6
13.914.5
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End2.8
blue by 10.5
25.72.4
22.625.0
Auto6.0
Teleop17.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
5%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned