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Red85
689435.6
1012117.1
453445.3
Blue95
929735.6
903234.3
481613.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104870501502008595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+20
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave3
5Coral scored#2
26Coral points9
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +30
9Coral scored#13
31Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
45Total teleop75
Reef
6L4#5
2L3#4
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
12Foul points2
85Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.31.4
44.943.5
Auto14.8
Teleop28.5
End1.9
red by 9.7
35.61.0
34.635.6
Auto4.3
Teleop29.4
End2.0
Second
35.61.4
32.130.7
Auto6.3
Teleop28.6
End0.7
red by 1.2
9032
#17
34.31.0
34.735.7
Auto8.0
Teleop25.4
End0.9
Third
17.11.4
17.015.6
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End1.2
red by 3.6
13.51.0
9.110.1
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed