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Red105
1007725.7
333615.1
1030221.6
Blue74
744315.3
334914.6
978812.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8147020406010012014016010574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+15Teleop
+19Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
0Leave6
3Coral scored#0
15Coral points0
15Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +6
12Coral scored#11
44Coral points38
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
68Total teleop62
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#16
BargeRed +4
10Cage & park6
10Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
12Foul points0
105Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.71.2
25.026.2
Auto6.0
Teleop17.2
End2.4
red by 10.3
7443
#26
15.31.4
15.016.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End1.8
Second
21.61.2
17.919.0
Auto4.3
Teleop15.5
End1.9
red by 7.1
3349
#14
14.61.4
13.414.8
Auto3.0
Teleop10.0
End1.6
Third
3336
#18
15.11.2
14.515.7
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End2.8
red by 2.3
9788
#31
12.81.4
9.110.5
Auto2.8
Teleop8.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed5%Barge oddsMissed