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Red39
1024813.9
560716.5
929619.3
Blue48
1026015.9
382219.3
903234.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions539301503948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
15Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +16
4Coral scored#7
14Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
18Total teleop34
Reef
3L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#10
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
39Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9296
#19
19.30.7
20.619.9
Auto5.7
Teleop11.5
End2.1
blue by 15.1
9032
#17
34.31.8
35.733.9
Auto8.0
Teleop25.4
End0.9
Second
5607
#25
16.50.7
14.613.9
Auto3.1
Teleop12.6
End0.8
blue by 2.8
3822
#22
19.31.8
21.619.8
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End1.7
Third
13.90.7
13.713.0
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End1.8
blue by 2.0
15.91.8
17.916.1
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed