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Red107
904216.1
453445.3
264027.3
Blue63
1012117.1
551810.4
672921.0
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86450206010012014010763

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+44Teleop
+44Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +30
14Coral scored#8
50Coral points28
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
82Total teleop52
Reef
7L4#3
4L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points0
107Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.31.3
43.544.8
Auto14.8
Teleop28.5
End1.9
red by 24.2
6729
#23
21.00.5
20.721.2
Auto2.1
Teleop17.9
End1.1
Second
2640
#11
27.31.3
21.923.2
Auto3.7
Teleop21.9
End1.7
red by 10.2
17.10.5
15.616.1
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End1.2
Third
9042
#20
16.11.3
9.611.0
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End1.8
red by 5.7
5518
#27
10.40.5
8.59.0
Auto2.4
Teleop6.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed