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Red49
830421.7
820514.4
972412.0
Blue89
651226.2
481613.5
689435.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66860501001502004989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+30
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +24
8Coral scored#8
30Coral points28
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#5
6Processor points12
0Net points20
6Algae points32
36Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#4
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
49Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8304
#15
21.71.4
22.320.9
Auto5.4
Teleop15.0
End1.3
blue by 13.9
35.60.2
30.731.0
Auto6.3
Teleop28.6
End0.7
Second
8205
#29
14.41.4
15.414.0
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End0.4
blue by 11.8
26.20.2
24.825.1
Auto5.5
Teleop13.6
End7.2
Third
12.01.4
12.511.1
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End2.3
blue by 1.5
13.50.2
10.110.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned