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Qual 522025 FNC District UNC Pembroke Event
Red95
205942.9
929735.6
382219.3
Blue92
90051.1
87579.7
43516.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117862040601001401601809592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+5Teleop
+15Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points7
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +8
12Coral scored#11
44Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
62Total teleop54
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
6Foul points18
95Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2059
#1
42.90.7
44.4→43.7
Auto8.0
Teleop28.4
End6.6
blue by 8.2
900
#3
51.10.3
50.8→50.6
Auto13.1
Teleop36.3
End1.8
Second
9297
#7
35.60.7
35.6→34.8
Auto4.3
Teleop29.4
End2.0
red by 19.3
435
#16
16.30.3
16.4→16.1
Auto3.6
Teleop11.2
End1.5
Third
3822
#22
19.30.7
19.8→19.1
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End1.7
red by 9.7
8757
#30
9.70.3
10.6→10.3
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsEarned