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Red74
1026015.9
1007725.7
919820.5
Blue88
334914.6
333615.1
453445.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions861002040601201401607488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+18
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +5
3Leave3
3Coral scored#4
15Coral points20
18Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +13
10Coral scored#14
36Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
50Total teleop63
Reef
7L4#5
2L3#7
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#21
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
74Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.6
26.225.5
Auto6.0
Teleop17.2
End2.4
blue by 19.6
45.30.5
44.844.3
Auto14.8
Teleop28.5
End1.9
Second
9198
#10
20.50.6
22.321.6
Auto4.3
Teleop14.8
End1.4
red by 5.4
3336
#18
15.10.5
15.715.2
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End2.8
Third
15.90.6
16.115.4
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End1.6
red by 1.3
3349
#14
14.60.5
14.814.3
Auto3.0
Teleop10.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed